Florida Atlantic
W-L: (28-26) PR = 93.7525Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 H Notre Dame ACC (30-22, 95.9) 7- 1 214 H Notre Dame ACC (30-22, 95.9) 1-14 215 H Notre Dame ACC (30-22, 95.9) 1- 7 217 A UL Monroe SB (31-23, 94.6) 4-10 220 A Cal State Bakersfield BW (24-27, 92.9) 2- 7 221 H Iowa B10 (34-21, 95.8) 1- 6 222 H Iowa B10 (34-21, 95.8) 3- 2 225 H Miami MA (22-13, 96.4) 7-11 227 H Villanova BE (15-31, 90.3) 11- 4 228 H Villanova BE (15-31, 90.3) 11- 5 301 H Villanova BE (15-31, 90.3) 15- 5 303 H Florida International CUSA (19-34, 92.8) 306 A Valparaiso MV ( 1- 8, 89.4) 14- 2 307 A Florida International CUSA (19-34, 92.8) 5- 3 308 H Florida International CUSA (19-34, 92.8) 7- 3 310 H Presbyterian BSO ( 0-14, 89.9) 12- 2 311 H Presbyterian BSO ( 0-14, 89.9) 7- 2 313 H UMBC AE ( 6- 8, 92.1) 10- 9 314 H UMBC AE ( 6- 8, 92.1) 3-14 315 H UMBC AE ( 6- 8, 92.1) 4- 3 317 A Central Arkansas AS (31-25, 92.7) 4- 4 320 H UTSA AME (38-20, 97.2) 1- 4 321 A Rutgers B10 (25-31, 93.9) 7- 6 322 H UTSA AME (38-20, 97.2) 8-18 324 A Miami MA (22-13, 96.4) 6-10 327 A Rice AME (31-26, 94.3) 6- 2 328 A Rice AME (31-26, 94.3) 2- 5 329 A Rice AME (31-26, 94.3) 1- 8 331 A Florida International CUSA (19-34, 92.8) 1- 9 402 H UAB AME (31-27, 94.9) 2- 7 403 H UAB AME (31-27, 94.9) 8-11 404 H UAB AME (31-27, 94.9) 4-10 410 H Arkansas State SB (29-25, 95.5) 17- 7 411 A Memphis AME (27-30, 94.4) 6- 4 412 A Memphis AME (27-30, 94.4) 6-11 414 H Florida Gulf Coast AS (35-21, 94.1) 6- 8 417 H Tulane AME (25-31, 94.4) 11- 3 418 H Tulane AME (25-31, 94.4) 10- 9 419 H Tulane AME (25-31, 94.4) 4-12 422 H Miami of Florida ACC (18-13, 95.6) 4- 5 424 H Charlotte AME (25-31, 94.1) 3- 1 425 H Charlotte AME (25-31, 94.1) 9- 4 426 H Charlotte AME (25-31, 94.1) 4- 5 428 A Florida Gulf Coast AS (35-21, 94.1) 8- 1 501 A South Florida AME (30-22, 94.6) 12- 9 502 A South Florida AME (30-22, 94.6) 6- 5 503 A South Florida AME (30-22, 94.6) 6-11 505 H UCF B12 (29-26, 96.0) 6- 5 508 A Wichita State AME (33-26, 94.6) 4- 2 509 A Wichita State AME (33-26, 94.6) 9- 7 510 A Wichita State AME (33-26, 94.6) 1- 4 512 A Florida Gulf Coast AS (35-21, 94.1) 9- 3 514 A Arkansas SEC (38-25, 97.5) 5- 3 515 A Arkansas SEC (38-25, 97.5) 1- 5 516 H East Carolina AME (36-25, 96.7) 2-13 520 H Wichita State AME (33-26, 94.6) 2- 3
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 H Notre Dame 7- 1 6 -1 +++ 7.46
214 H Notre Dame 1-14 -13 -1 --- -11.54
215 H Notre Dame 1- 7 -6 -1 -- -4.54
217 A UL Monroe 4-10 -6 -2 -- -4.46
220 A Cal State Bakersfield 2- 7 -5 0 -- -5.19
221 H Iowa 1- 6 -5 -1 - -3.60
222 H Iowa 3- 2 1 -1 + 2.40
225 H Miami 7-11 -4 -2 -1.98
227 H Villanova 11- 4 7 4 + 2.90
228 H Villanova 11- 5 6 4 1.90
301 H Villanova 15- 5 10 4 ++ 5.90
306 A Valparaiso 14- 2 12 4 +++ 8.37
307 A Florida International 5- 3 2 0 1.70
308 H Florida International 7- 3 4 2 + 2.35
310 H Presbyterian 12- 2 10 5 ++ 5.47
311 H Presbyterian 7- 2 5 5 0.47
313 H UMBC 10- 9 1 2 -1.37
314 H UMBC 3-14 -11 2 --- -13.37
315 H UMBC 4- 3 1 2 -1.37
317 A Central Arkansas 4- 4 0 0 -0.37
320 H UTSA 1- 4 -3 -3 -0.27
321 A Rutgers 7- 6 1 -1 1.82
322 H UTSA 8-18 -10 -3 --- -7.27
324 A Miami 6-10 -4 -3 -0.63
327 A Rice 6- 2 4 -1 ++ 5.25
328 A Rice 2- 5 -3 -1 -1.75
329 A Rice 1- 8 -7 -1 -- -5.75
331 A Florida International 1- 9 -8 0 --- -8.30
402 H UAB 2- 7 -5 0 -- -4.55
403 H UAB 8-11 -3 0 - -2.55
404 H UAB 4-10 -6 0 -- -5.55
410 H Arkansas State 17- 7 10 -1 +++ 11.10
411 A Memphis 6- 4 2 -1 + 3.29
412 A Memphis 6-11 -5 -1 - -3.71
414 H Florida Gulf Coast 6- 8 -2 0 - -2.36
417 H Tulane 11- 3 8 0 +++ 7.98
418 H Tulane 10- 9 1 0 0.98
419 H Tulane 4-12 -8 0 --- -8.02
422 H Miami of Florida 4- 5 -1 -1 0.22
424 H Charlotte 3- 1 2 0 1.68
425 H Charlotte 9- 4 5 0 ++ 4.68
426 H Charlotte 4- 5 -1 0 -1.32
428 A Florida Gulf Coast 8- 1 7 -1 +++ 7.99
501 A South Florida 12- 9 3 -2 ++ 4.50
502 A South Florida 6- 5 1 -2 + 2.50
503 A South Florida 6-11 -5 -2 - -3.50
505 H UCF 6- 5 1 -2 + 2.57
508 A Wichita State 4- 2 2 -2 + 3.50
509 A Wichita State 9- 7 2 -2 + 3.50
510 A Wichita State 1- 4 -3 -2 -1.50
512 A Florida Gulf Coast 9- 3 6 -1 +++ 6.99
514 A Arkansas 5- 3 2 -4 +++ 6.44
515 A Arkansas 1- 5 -4 -4 0.44
516 H East Carolina 2-13 -11 -2 --- -8.69
520 H Wichita State 2- 3 -1 0 -0.85
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 214 H Notre Dame 1-14 -13 -1 --- -11.54 314 H UMBC 3-14 -11 2 --- -13.37 322 H UTSA 8-18 -10 -3 --- -7.27 331 A Florida International 1- 9 -8 0 --- -8.30 419 H Tulane 4-12 -8 0 --- -8.02 516 H East Carolina 2-13 -11 -2 --- -8.69 215 H Notre Dame 1- 7 -6 -1 -- -4.54 217 A UL Monroe 4-10 -6 -2 -- -4.46 220 A Cal State Bakersfield 2- 7 -5 0 -- -5.19 329 A Rice 1- 8 -7 -1 -- -5.75 402 H UAB 2- 7 -5 0 -- -4.55 404 H UAB 4-10 -6 0 -- -5.55 221 H Iowa 1- 6 -5 -1 - -3.60 403 H UAB 8-11 -3 0 - -2.55 412 A Memphis 6-11 -5 -1 - -3.71 414 H Florida Gulf Coast 6- 8 -2 0 - -2.36 503 A South Florida 6-11 -5 -2 - -3.50 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 213 H Notre Dame 7- 1 6 -1 +++ 7.46 306 A Valparaiso 14- 2 12 4 +++ 8.37 410 H Arkansas State 17- 7 10 -1 +++ 11.10 417 H Tulane 11- 3 8 0 +++ 7.98 428 A Florida Gulf Coast 8- 1 7 -1 +++ 7.99 512 A Florida Gulf Coast 9- 3 6 -1 +++ 6.99 514 A Arkansas 5- 3 2 -4 +++ 6.44 301 H Villanova 15- 5 10 4 ++ 5.90 310 H Presbyterian 12- 2 10 5 ++ 5.47 327 A Rice 6- 2 4 -1 ++ 5.25 425 H Charlotte 9- 4 5 0 ++ 4.68 501 A South Florida 12- 9 3 -2 ++ 4.50 222 H Iowa 3- 2 1 -1 + 2.40 227 H Villanova 11- 4 7 4 + 2.90 308 H Florida International 7- 3 4 2 + 2.35 411 A Memphis 6- 4 2 -1 + 3.29 502 A South Florida 6- 5 1 -2 + 2.50 505 H UCF 6- 5 1 -2 + 2.57 508 A Wichita State 4- 2 2 -2 + 3.50 509 A Wichita State 9- 7 2 -2 + 3.50 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Notre Dame (30-22, 95.9) 7- 1 -4.01 14.42 -0.68 0.53 14.45
3 H Notre Dame (30-22, 95.9) 1-14 -4.01 14.42 -0.68 0.53 -1.23
3 H Notre Dame (30-22, 95.9) 1- 7 -4.01 14.42 -0.68 0.53 -1.23
3 A UL Monroe (31-23, 94.6) 4-10 -5.28 13.14 0.68 0.53 -1.21
3 A Cal State Bake (24-27, 92.9) 2- 7 -7.01 11.41 0.68 0.53 -1.67
3 H Iowa (34-21, 95.8) 1- 6 -4.07 14.36 -0.68 0.53 -1.25
3 H Iowa (34-21, 95.8) 3- 2 -4.07 14.36 -0.68 0.53 14.39
3 H Miami (22-13, 96.4) 7-11 -3.46 14.97 -0.68 0.53 -1.09
3 H Villanova (15-31, 90.3) 11- 4 -9.57 8.85 -0.68 0.53 8.60
3 H Villanova (15-31, 90.3) 11- 5 -9.57 8.85 -0.68 0.53 8.60
3 H Villanova (15-31, 90.3) 15- 5 -9.57 8.85 -0.68 0.53 8.60
3 A Valparaiso ( 1- 8, 89.4) 14- 2 -10.45 7.97 0.68 0.53 9.10
3 A Florida Intern (19-34, 92.8) 5- 3 -7.12 11.31 0.68 0.53 12.60
3 H Florida Intern (19-34, 92.8) 7- 3 -7.12 11.31 -0.68 0.53 11.18
3 H Presbyterian ( 0-14, 89.9) 12- 2 -10.00 8.42 -0.68 0.53 8.15
3 H Presbyterian ( 0-14, 89.9) 7- 2 -10.00 8.42 -0.68 0.53 8.15
3 H UMBC ( 6- 8, 92.1) 10- 9 -7.85 10.58 -0.68 0.53 10.42
3 H UMBC ( 6- 8, 92.1) 3-14 -7.85 10.58 -0.68 0.53 -2.24
3 H UMBC ( 6- 8, 92.1) 4- 3 -7.85 10.58 -0.68 0.53 10.42
3 A Central Arkans (31-25, 92.7) 4- 4 -7.19 11.24 0.68 0.53 0.00
3 H UTSA (38-20, 97.2) 1- 4 -2.74 15.68 -0.68 0.53 -0.90
3 A Rutgers (25-31, 93.9) 7- 6 -6.01 12.42 0.68 0.53 13.77
3 H UTSA (38-20, 97.2) 8-18 -2.74 15.68 -0.68 0.53 -0.90
3 A Miami (22-13, 96.4) 6-10 -3.46 14.97 0.68 0.53 -0.73
3 A Rice (31-26, 94.3) 6- 2 -5.57 12.86 0.68 0.53 14.23
3 A Rice (31-26, 94.3) 2- 5 -5.57 12.86 0.68 0.53 -1.29
3 A Rice (31-26, 94.3) 1- 8 -5.57 12.86 0.68 0.53 -1.29
3 A Florida Intern (19-34, 92.8) 1- 9 -7.12 11.31 0.68 0.53 -1.69
3 H UAB (31-27, 94.9) 2- 7 -5.02 13.40 -0.68 0.53 -1.50
3 H UAB (31-27, 94.9) 8-11 -5.02 13.40 -0.68 0.53 -1.50
3 H UAB (31-27, 94.9) 4-10 -5.02 13.40 -0.68 0.53 -1.50
3 H Arkansas State (29-25, 95.5) 17- 7 -4.38 14.05 -0.68 0.53 14.07
3 A Memphis (27-30, 94.4) 6- 4 -5.53 12.90 0.68 0.53 14.27
3 A Memphis (27-30, 94.4) 6-11 -5.53 12.90 0.68 0.53 -1.28
3 H Florida Gulf C (35-21, 94.1) 6- 8 -5.83 12.59 -0.68 0.53 -1.71
3 H Tulane (25-31, 94.4) 11- 3 -5.49 12.93 -0.68 0.53 12.89
3 H Tulane (25-31, 94.4) 10- 9 -5.49 12.93 -0.68 0.53 12.89
3 H Tulane (25-31, 94.4) 4-12 -5.49 12.93 -0.68 0.53 -1.62
3 H Miami of Flori (18-13, 95.6) 4- 5 -4.25 14.17 -0.68 0.53 -1.30
3 H Charlotte (25-31, 94.1) 3- 1 -5.79 12.64 -0.68 0.53 12.58
3 H Charlotte (25-31, 94.1) 9- 4 -5.79 12.64 -0.68 0.53 12.58
3 H Charlotte (25-31, 94.1) 4- 5 -5.79 12.64 -0.68 0.53 -1.70
3 A Florida Gulf C (35-21, 94.1) 8- 1 -5.83 12.59 0.68 0.53 13.95
3 A South Florida (30-22, 94.6) 12- 9 -5.32 13.11 0.68 0.53 14.49
3 A South Florida (30-22, 94.6) 6- 5 -5.32 13.11 0.68 0.53 14.49
3 A South Florida (30-22, 94.6) 6-11 -5.32 13.11 0.68 0.53 -1.22
3 H UCF (29-26, 96.0) 6- 5 -3.91 14.52 -0.68 0.53 14.56
3 A Wichita State (33-26, 94.6) 4- 2 -5.32 13.11 0.68 0.53 14.49
3 A Wichita State (33-26, 94.6) 9- 7 -5.32 13.11 0.68 0.53 14.49
3 A Wichita State (33-26, 94.6) 1- 4 -5.32 13.11 0.68 0.53 -1.22
3 A Florida Gulf C (35-21, 94.1) 9- 3 -5.83 12.59 0.68 0.53 13.95
3 A Arkansas (38-25, 97.5) 5- 3 -2.38 16.04 0.68 0.53 17.58
3 A Arkansas (38-25, 97.5) 1- 5 -2.38 16.04 0.68 0.53 -0.45
3 H East Carolina (36-25, 96.7) 2-13 -3.16 15.26 -0.68 0.53 -1.01
3 H Wichita State (33-26, 94.6) 2- 3 -5.32 13.11 -0.68 0.53 -1.58
------
315.66
|
winning pts = 349.9476 losing points = -34.2886
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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